Tuesday, September 15, 2009

Technical Analysis


There is no formula to tell whether tomorrow there will be a trend or not. There are a few things Forex traders may check in order to anticipate certain market behavior on a next day. Check if there is important news to be released tomorrow for the currencies you'll be trading. If so, you can expect decrease in Forex market activity right before the news, or even starting from the early morning hours. A high increase of activity after the news hours is a result of market being shaken out, a new or an old trend being identified, confirmed or changed, and as a result, every Forex trader would be looking to join in. Another factor that could help to judge about the market trending conditions tomorrow is a price approaching near major support/resistance level. When this happen, price tend to consolidate, test and try before either turning back or breaking out. During such periods traders find frequent sharp price turns, increased volatility, but without price progressing much in either direction. Another simple factor could be the angle of the Moving average. If the Moving average is flat, flows horizontally without significant incline to either up or downside, you can pretty much conclude that the market is flat. On this assumption it would be logical to identify price channeling boundaries and avoid trading with trend following strategies until price breaks out of the channel.

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